The Republican primary election in Ohio on Tuesday gave us a glimpse of the main challenges facing the House of Representatives. Liz Cheney If the Republicans want the best chance to overthrow the three-term legislator, they may seem to need to unite around a candidate.
Since she voted to impeach the former president, Cheney has had a goal on his back Donald Trump And pushed the culprit of the Congressional riots to his feet.Trump has been urging Republicans Only one challenger was presented to Cheney to avoid what happened on Tuesday, where the crowded candidate field split the Republican votes.
“The easiest way to defeat the sad Liz Cheney is to have only one Conservative Party candidate run and win!” Trump said in a recent statement.
Historically, it is much more difficult to overthrow an incumbent politician than to win in a public election. Therefore, the best way for Trump’s supporters to expel Cheney is to combine the votes to a single candidate in order to deprive the legislator of the majority of votes.
On Tuesday, 11 Republicans competed in the primary for the vacant seat left by Rep. Steve Stivers. Open seats tend to attract many candidates, and prominent Republicans are divided on who to support.
Although Trump supports Mike Carey, if Trump runs for election in 2024, then Governor Christie Noam, who may become a candidate for vice president, supports Ohio Republican Chairman Jane Timken.senator LandPaul Supporting former state Rep. Ron Hood (Ron Hood), he also agrees that he is a loyal supporter of Trump.
Voters are also divided on who is the best candidate to represent the Republican Party in the November special election. Carey got 37% of the vote, giving him a majority and winning on Tuesday. Although his approval rate is more than twice that of the next three closest candidates, each of them has an approval rate of about 13%, but he did not win a majority of seats, and he challenged the incumbent in the primaries. , This 13% approval rate may have an impact in the election.
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The split vote on Tuesday is exactly what Trump is trying to avoid in the next Wyoming primary. Trump pushed Wyoming lawmakers to change the main rules, requiring candidates to obtain a majority of votes to win. If no candidate exceeds the 50% threshold, the primary election will enter the final election and the top two candidates will face each other head-on.
However, attempts to change the rules failed, and Wyoming lawmakers decided to keep the rules, that is, the candidate with the most votes wins, even if not a majority. This has increased the need for Republicans to unite around a candidate. Trump met with several people last week, hoping to get his support in the “coming months.”
By pushing only one candidate into the field, the goal is that if Trump does not support Republicans, they will line up and withdraw from the race.
Faced with pressure from her own party to alleviate her contempt for Trump, Cheney went in another direction and became more convinced that Trump is not the party’s future. This made her lose her leadership in the Republican Party, and she gathered many challengers.
“No matter what that primary election is like, no matter who I am facing, I will fight hard. I don’t take it for granted, but I expect I will win,” Cheney told Punchbowl News. “I am confident that I will win.”
Cheney is the daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney. She has huge financial support. As of April, her funds surpassed the challenger. However, opinion polls showed that Cheney’s rejection of Trump damaged her image in the National Republican Party.
A poll conducted by Morning Consult found that Cheney’s favorability is only 15%, and his popularity is three times that of it. Democratic Party Than a member of her own party.She accepted her position on the committee on January 6, making the House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy Questioned whether she is closer to Democrats than Republicans, and she has been violently attacked by Republican insiders.
Although the polls have caused trouble for Cheney, given her popularity and fundraising ability, those who wish her to leave will foolishly underestimate her ability to win the primary election.
