PotassiumWill polls influence choices? At Verden an der Aller, the campaign organization Campact believes in this. Objective: To combat and prevent individual federal members who are not covered by the state list in their electoral district. It all started with Hans-Georg Maaßen, the former chairman of the Constitutional Protection Office and an investigation in early June.
Forsa, a public opinion research organization, also works for the media and the authorities. On behalf of Campact, it asked thousands of voters in southern Thuringia what topics are important to them, from their perspective, what makes a good member of the Bundestag, and how they evaluate Existing candidates. The result is that Mason is the most well-known candidate; due to his high degree of reservation, one-fifth of the supporters of the CDU will vote for the SPD candidate Frank Ulrich. In the investigation two months ago, Ulrich was ahead of Mason.
“Tea Division”
The pollsters also measured how the voting decision will change if the Social Democratic Party, the Green Party, and the left agree to Ulrich as a joint candidate. After that, Ulrich will get 34%, while Mason will only get 20%. In Forsa’s 19-page report, which was published on the Internet and summarized in a press release, Campact board member Christoph Bautz saw the guide to victory for Maassen’s competitors. In the past, it was not uncommon for candidates from the Social Democratic Party, the Green Party, and the left from a similar electoral environment to take their votes in electoral districts—CDU politicians won. Bautz wanted to prevent this from happening. Appropriately, he saw the danger of “the tea sharing of the alliance”, and the firewall was teetering to the right.
The Social Democratic Party and the left wing talk to each other in southern Thuringia. They agreed that Mason should not win, but the left did not want to support the Social Democrats who according to the survey showed more promising. Boutz believes that now it is up to voters to support the more promising people. Given the decline in party relations and the increasing importance of strategic election decisions, Campact hopes to support the challengers of coalition politicians in another eight electoral districts. “This legislative period is very important in terms of expanding climate protection. That’s why we are pursuing a strategy to prevent radical climate blockers from within society,” Bautz said.
The union of values is in sight
Detailed surveys of attitudes, political parties, and candidate preferences are often exceptions at the district level. It is said that Campact hopes to use local election campaigns to point out the voting behavior of relevant coalition members of the Bundestag in order to mobilize promising left-wing candidates, similar to what happened in southern Thuringia. Some people want to specifically target those middle voters who sympathize with the CDU/CSU but think that certain positions are too extreme. The individual CDU members considered by Campact are in or close to the combination of values. Election activities in the eight electoral districts are scheduled to begin around mid-August.
