SecondIs it better to be late than nothing? The United States and Europe are finally showing signs of awakening to the dangers facing Bosnia.A deep-rooted crisis escalated sharply. Christian Schmidt, the chief representative of the international community, warned that the country Soon splitHe described the “very real” prospect of returning to conflict after 26 years. Dayton Peace Agreement Ended a war that claimed 100,000 lives, Srebrenica massacre This is the worst atrocities in Europe since World War II.
Since then, Bosnia has been Serbia with Bosnian Croat Federation, A tripartite presidium composed of a Serb, a Bosnian and a Croat. Milorad Dodik, a leader of the Bosnian Serbs who denied genocide, has urged them to go their own way for years. The limited international boycott made him bolder. In response to the previous high representative’s denial of the genocide law, Mr. Dodik threatened to withdraw from national institutions, including the national armed forces. As Mr. Schmidt pointed out, this would be a nominal split.When a new Bosnian Serb army is created, it will also revive Institutions responsible for genocideMr. Dodik has stated that he will force the Bosnian army to withdraw from the Republika Srpska and if necessary, his “friends” will support him.
In the beginning, senior representatives used the considerable power of the position to control politicians.But this role has been systematically weakenedAfter Russia made it clear that it would otherwise veto the Security Council resolution, Mr. Schmidt’s position was removed from the new mission of the EU peacekeeping force in Bosnia, which further weakened Mr. Schmidt’s position.
The broader context is the demise of the European dream.Emmanuel Macron Rejection of EU enlargement – Ignore the warning about the danger of violating the promises to the western Balkans – a devastating blow, and Europe lacks continuity and stability endedAs a substitute for nationalism, there is little that can be provided. Mr. Dodik has the support of Hungarian Victor Orban; Russia, and to a lesser extent, China and even Turkey are becoming more and more influential.In the context of political and economic stagnation, many citizens Just leave.
Mr. Schmidt’s report put the crisis on the agenda.Gabriel Escobar, the special envoy for the Western Balkans, has just visited; a re-engagement of the United States is crucial, despite critics complaining about it Still anxious to appeaseThe European Union remains largely silent, and the more outspoken Britain can no longer push the case from within.America Sanctioned Mr. Dodik obstructed the implementation of the peace agreement in 2017; what is needed now is to impose severe sanctions on his circle and cut off access to the European market and banking business. However, late, the government should clearly support Mr. Schmidt and believe that Mr. Dodik is responsible for this crisis. The West should make it clear that any violent attempt will be dealt with by strengthening international forces. If the EU fails to comply with the provisions of the Dayton Agreement, the North will do this work. The EU should also ask itself what hope it will bring to Bosnia.
The question is not only whether the Bosnian Serb leader will climb down as he did in the past, but also how confident he is in future provocations. Now, the best situation for this country seems to be continuous and gradual deterioration, which must be the driving force for better progress.
