Compare the CDC ensemble forecasts released today with the forecasts generated the previous week and discussed in this article postal.
source: CDC, ensemble forecast on August 2.
The predicted weekly mortality rate for Florida on August 23rd on August 2 is approximately 690, which is slightly lower than the forecast shown below for July 26th, which is slightly lower than 600 (I am watching here).
source: CDC, July 26 ensemble forecast.
The following is the detailed data of the individual forecasts for the August 2 forecast and the July 26 forecast.
source: CDC, ensemble forecast on August 2.
source: CDC, July 26 ensemble forecast.
If you are skeptical about the predictions of these types of models, you can look at the hospitalizations in Florida today.
source: News node, Visited on April 8, 2021.
In the past wave, the number of deaths caused by hospitalization is shown in the figure below postal.
