Tally Germany with Poland An analyst said that these destinations are among the most likely to be added to the government’s green tourism list.
Robert Boyle, former strategic director of British Airways parent company International Air Transport Association It is predicted that 12 countries may be placed at low risk this week.
He wrote on his website www.gridpoint.consulting that this includes nine European countries that are “strong candidates”, including Austria, Bulgaria, Germany, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia and Switzerland.
Politicians are more willing to announce and relax travel restrictions at the same time
The government’s travel list is expected to be updated on Thursday.
people There is no need to self-quarantine when arriving in the UK from a green list destination.
Those departing from the amber area must self-quarantine at home for 10 days, but this requirement will be lifted on Monday for those who have arrived in England, have received two doses of the coronavirus vaccine in the UK, or are under 18 years of age.
Mr. Boyle described Canada as his “best predictor” for entering the green phase because of its low coronavirus cases and test positive rates, and its vaccine launch plan is “rapidly catching up” with the UK.
But he pointed out that North American countries do not allow tourists from the UK.
He wrote: “It is difficult to find a better candidate on the green list.
“The Canadian authorities continue to prohibit British nationals from entering Canada.
“But the same is true for Australia and New Zealand, they are both on the green list.
“However, this may be a matter of time, because I believe politicians are more willing to announce the relaxation of travel restrictions at the same time.”
Before the pandemic, approximately 724,000 British nationals visited Canada each year.
Regarding the prospect of the United States being included in the Green List, Mr. Boyle said that “the number still looks a bit high.”
But he added that the positive rate of people arriving in the UK from the United States, coupled with the latter’s vaccination program, means that “if an agreement to reopen the US border is reached, there will be some political leeway to make it green.”
Mr. Boyle claimed that Hong Kong “should be green” because “basically zero cases and a large amount of test data”, “Taiwan can also make similar cases”.
Regarding countries shifting to the high-risk category, he wrote that the case rates of Malta and Israel are “rapidly rising”, which means that the two countries currently on the green list “have at least a chance” watch list” for highlighting It may soon move to the green position of the amber layer.
He also predicted that due to the “very high proportion of travelers who tested positive on arrival”, Indonesia and Sierra Leone may move from the amber list to the red list, while Bahrain may move in the opposite direction due to the “crash drop in case rate.”
People arriving in the UK from a red list location must stay in a segregated hotel for 11 nights, and the cost for a single traveler is £1,750.



