The 2020 election boils down to a bet that moderate and independent voters believe is safer and more sensible.
This may not be what you want to hear, but more and more things are clearly happening. Voters think Joe Biden is more calm and better at conveying messages. Yes, Trump is responsible for the COVID-19 vaccine, and data shows that the vaccine does help reduce the mortality of people who die of the disease. Yes, Trump did lead the country to a short-term economic prosperity.
But the information is chaotic, and people are frankly tired of the drama. Many of these dramas were incited by the media, not Trump, but Trump did not help. The problem for Joe Biden now is that voters who think safer and more sensible bets are no longer sure about their vote.
The evidence is in the numbers It came out earlier this week. Biden’s current approval rate is 53%, which is too close to the early government’s 50%. Politico and The Hill both pointed out that COVID-19 is the main problem in their reports on the polls, but as my colleague Brandon Morse mentioned in the link above, the economy is probably also related to this.
Not to mention that we have seen reports from various school districts in which independent voters are parents who reject far-left critical racial theories in their children’s schools, teachers’ unions are fighting to keep schools closed, and many other far-democratic super progressives The struggle for left-wing culture is being vigorously promoted.
More and more independents and moderates are walking with Biden because they seek a calmer and more sensible political era, but they do not get what they want. In the absence of Donald Trump — yes, no social media, no fixed camera in front of him, he is absent — voters who follow the world around him regard the ruling party as the blameworthy. Republicans have benefited from Trump being less active now, and they know this privately.
The media also helped Republicans by making Democrats like Alexander Ocasio-Cortez and Corey Bush become important figures in the Democratic Party. Because reporters and the media have such a high degree of recognition of the left, they flock to this young generation of politicians, and they seek the spotlight and a platform to give them more time to face the United States.That’s why you saw Nina Turner lost to a more moderate Democrat on Tuesday. Propelled by Jim Cliburn, The House of Representatives majority whip. Clayburn publicly (and many private leaders) believe that the progressive extremism within the party is harmful to their majority and wants to prevent it from becoming too strong politically.
Earlier this week, I mentioned the Biden administration Spend all the time on reaction The loudest voice on the left or criticism from the right, rather than really making long-term plans and goals. The subsequent extremely unconstitutional extension of the moratorium on deportations further proved this point.The grabbing of power is too unreasonable, even Washington post Bang.
If the Trump administration ignores the direct warnings of the Supreme Court, Democrats will naturally line up to condemn the president. Mr. Biden did not pass the rule of law because his heart was in the right place.
All this is public, and privately it worries the Democrats. They are worried because they realize that they have not won in 2020. Donald Trump lost, but they did not win. They were lucky. The House of Representatives is still in their hands, and Biden’s poll (With themselves) Is still at a dangerously low level. Historically, the ruling party performed poorly in the medium term, and the ruling party has been walking on thin ice.
With so many issues at work, it seems that the Republicans are quietly winning the culture war, while the most progressive Democrats are acting loudly as if they have won. Hope that the country stays closer to moderate rather than extreme independence and moderate voters are quietly changing their stance on 2020 in an effort to stop what they think is crazy about voting against it in 2020. Republicans saw it coming, while Democrats worried about it coming.
