The current standoff on the Belarusian-Polish border will be included in geopolitical textbooks. At least we hope so, because alternatives may trigger a complete war, and then we will forget the textbook.
In the past, much less was usually needed because The spy knows very wellIn our time, total war should definitely be avoided, because overflow may cause nuclear catastrophe, everything will burn, books first.
Vladimir Putin likes this atmosphere.His appearance is not accidental A strategic bomber with nuclear capability is currently flying over the area.
Is Europe under siege? In the southeast wing, Turkey is waiting eagerly.
Turkey under Erdogan is ready to release another wave of humanity, as he did in 2020, this time in at least three strategic locations: Greek Islands, Evros River (Turkish is Meric, Bulgarian is Maritsa), and Cyprus, A large number of refugees from the Middle East have begun to cross the border from the northern part of the Turkish-controlled Separated Island.
The outgoing German Chancellor Angela Merkel spoke with Putin by phone. This was her last act as the chief power broker in Europe. This is what she might say and how he might respond. She speaks Russian and he speaks German.
—— Vladimir, you can stop it.
-Angela, don’t listen What are the Poles talking about. I am not responsible. If you have any questions, please talk to Lukashenko.
-You talk to him. He listens to you.
——But this is not my problem. I have no problem. You have a question. And tell the Poles to show themselves. What are these crazy ideas about regime change in Minsk? I heard all kinds of stupid things, such as the diversion of the plane to Minsk… to remind them that Russia has an obligation to support Belarus militarily.
– Vladimir, are you threatening me with the Third World War?
-Angela, I am not. Since the fall of the Berlin Wall, you and your American friends have been encouraging Poles. Don’t be surprised by the results you get now.
– Vladimir, I am more bored of Poles than you. I pay more attention to your concerns than anyone else. You know. I will leave soon. Talk to Lukashenko and stop it. In the name of our cooperation.
——Angela, I will miss you. No promise, but I hate to see you unhappy.
– Молодец, Vladimir, I know I can count on you!
– Счастливо, Angela, but let those Poles express themselves!
In fact, if a person can ease tensions, his name is Vladimir Putin-but he will not do it for free. After Angela is gone, his interlocutor will not be the next German Chancellor, but Emmanuel Macron of Paris.
Putin has only one prize coveted for his mediation-the West recognizes Ukraine as Russia’s backyard.It would be easier for him to get it from Macron, Macron in his most important foreign affairs speech Repeated references to Russia However, references to Ukraine are usually omitted.
Of course Ukraine knows this, it is not accidental Its foreign minister is now in WashingtonBut the Biden administration is obsessed with China and has no appetite at this time to shift more efforts to the tensions in Europe.
The outcome of the Belarus-Poland border crisis has not yet been determined. But there is a strong assumption that many things are at risk.
News from the Martens European Research Center: Thinking about the future of Europe together
Summary
Countries bordering Belarus (including Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia) are also worried-leaders condemned “the deliberate escalation of the ongoing mixed attacks by the Belarusian regime, which poses a serious threat to European security.” People are increasingly worried about using immigrants as weapons, This may escalate into a military confrontation.
In response, the The EU is considering sanctions on Belarus’s major airports Try to make it more difficult for airlines to introduce immigrants. New sanctions, including asset freezes and travel bans, may be approved as early as next week.
As the EU is trying to manage the abnormal influx of refugees and migrants across its external borders, the UN head of refugees Philippe Grandi emphasized that EU leaders cannot justify xenophobia, boycotts and acts of violence in response to crises.Grandi said that EU member states must Reject the “I am first; my country is first” approach to refugees, Climate and COVID, and accept the concept of international cooperation.
In an open letter, 28 EU environmental and health organizations called for action on the “blind spots” of agrochemical data, saying they Undermine the EU’s green goals and encourage mistrust. The publication of this letter coincides with the European Union’s agricultural statistics reforms and awaits the first reading position of the parliament.
The European Commission’s ambition to link the EU agricultural subsidy program to the European Green Agreement is Will be a victim Put pressure on member states through closed-door procedures.
The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed the shortcomings of the EU health system, What issues are being addressed by stakeholders and policy makers. A member of the European Parliament said that after a pandemic, patients’ access to the same high standard of care should be at the core of the process of rethinking the health system.
Members of the European Parliament voted for transparency, close cooperation and an in-depth review of the Health Emergency Preparedness and Response Authority (HERA) on Thursday to align the new EU health emergency agency with future regulations on cross-border health threats. Since its launch, HERA faces severe criticism from EU lawmakers, who feel excluded.
The European Parliament passed a resolution by an overwhelming majority Protect journalists and critics from abusive litigation, Also known as Strategic Litigation Against Public Participation (SLAPP). These lawsuits are increasingly being used against investigative reporters, exhausting them financially, and intimidating them to abandon sensitive stories.
Pay close attention, watch out, watch out…
- The COP26 climate summit will end on Friday.
- November 11-13, the 4th Annual Paris Peace Forum
- The Economic and Financial Affairs Committee discusses the EU’s 2022 budget.
The opinions are those of the author.
[Edited by Zoran Radosavljevic]
