DThe collapse of Afghanistan not only caused Germany to admit guilt and blame each other, but also put great pressure on German-US relations. The leaders of the Grand Alliance strive for unity.German Chancellor Merkel (CDU) stated that she supports the Foreign Minister’s assessment Heiko Mars (SPD), he said before that “we all misjudged development.”
However, the Bundestag group also stated that Maas left the Bundestag with the impression that the Bundestag seized power in June. Taliban It is not imminent for the time being; German security services have given a more serious picture of the situation. Other voices, in turn, pointed out that the Federal Ministry of the Interior, led by the union, took a long time to determine which Afghan aid workers and local workers should be entitled to German protection and help, and which did not.
According to the information provided by the people who obtained the information from the intelligence service, the German department is well aware of the Taliban’s plans and capabilities. According to the report, the Taliban Caliphate plans to establish a national building, as well as a national and parallel religious structure similar to Iran. However, there is no accurate estimate of how fast the Islamic militias will advance. Maas said on Monday that everyone in this prediction was wrong, including the intelligence services.
German Foreign Intelligence Service BND Not only does it regularly assess the situation to the federal government, but it also provides briefings in the Parliament Hall. According to this news, it was actually not foreseen that the Taliban would seize power across the country so quickly, while the Afghan army’s opposition to Islamists was so small. Unfavorable forecasts set a critical point as early as the end of the year. However, the overall situation is correct, that the Taliban are determined to establish a new Islamic emirate, so they will first try to sever ties with Kabul. The script has now been shot in fast motion.
Two explanations
There are two explanations for this rapid decline. In early August, a paper distributed by the U.S. Secret Service, the Washington Post stated: “The collapse of the country may occur within 30 to 90 days.” In June, the US military believed that Kabul could fall under the control of the Taliban within 6 to 12 months after the withdrawal of US troops. This assessment, in turn, has clearly led to the weakening of their willingness to defend themselves by the national security forces and their political leadership.
