When the Taliban approached the cities of Afghanistan, ordinary Afghans resigned to their fate. One regime leaves and another takes its place.
But is everything lost? Or, after the Yankees go home, is Afghanistan learning about the difficult choices it needs to make in the world? I asked these questions in a public policy analysis article, “Will armed’public uprising forces’ prevent the Taliban from advancing?”, Published in “National Interest”.
The key question after the U.S. intervention is, “Whichever is the lesser of two evils? A potential secession divided along ethnic boundaries? Or is it an Islamic emirate controlled by the Taliban and closely related to terrorist organizations?”
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The immediate urgency is because the United States is abandoning Afghanistan.
Although the United States is only a few weeks away from leaving, it is likely to be a critical moment for the Afghan government forces equipped with airpower to put aside internal dissatisfaction and fully support these groups.
The emergence of “public uprising” forces is a manifestation of ordinary Afghans.
Public uprising forces have always claimed to repel the Taliban, but so far, the battle has clearly been a failure. Many local leaders and insiders stated that the loss was not due to a lack of will or skills, but a lack of adequate equipment and firepower.
The peace process may be what made the Taliban possible.
“The peace process must remain the main priority, but today’s Doha process only serves the Taliban’s military progress and their victory,” lamented a source closely related to the northern political spectrum. “Our traditional partners and time-tested American allies in the North desperately need our support. They are the only reliable and effective hope. It is in the national interest of the United States to help them protect the Republic and our sacrifices.”
Internal alliances are being formed in real time.
On the one hand, dozens of fighters swore allegiance to the former vice president of the northern provinces and Marshal Abdul Rashid Dostum, the leader of the Northern Alliance. In Mazar-i-Sharif, a key city surrounded by the Taliban and my current location, the Afghan army is not patrolling the city. Young public uprising forces are most visible on the crowded and bustling streets, and despite the uncertainty, they are still full of vitality.
I strongly recommend that policy makers and world leaders read the full text. The reality of new opportunities in every vacuum has not changed.
