Italians have been enjoying an extraordinary period of political harmony- Mario DraghiThe prime minister brought decisive and competent leadership during the pandemic, and the economy is growing rapidly. But when Parliament elects a new president in January, this may be in danger.
An opaque ceremony described as similar to the appointment of a new pope, the topic is dominating the political debate, as the result may put Italy in trouble at a critical moment: whether former European Central Bank President Draghi should be considered to restore stability and have an interest in the country Confidence, continue to serve as prime minister, or become president?
There are no official candidates for the Italian presidential election. Instead, legislators vote by secret ballot for a seven-year term-they can vote for anyone, as long as they are Italian citizens and are 50 years of age or older.Names that have appeared in previous elections include football players Francesco Totti, actor Sophia LorenAnd even porn stars Rocco SifredThe voting may continue for several rounds before the winner appears.
Draghi is often considered the front runner to succeed Sergio Mattarella, who stepped down as head of state on February 3. The 74-year-old hinted last week that he may be preparing for the role. At the year-end press conference, he answered questions about his future. He said: “My personal destiny is not important. I don’t have any special ambitions. If you want, I am a grandfather who serves the organization.”
According to Italian media reports, the only person who clearly pursues this role is the former prime minister and leader of Forza Italia who has been affected by the scandal. Silvio Berlusconi.
“The possibility of him being elected is extremely slim, but we should not rule out that possibility,” said Wolfango Piccoli, co-president of London-based research firm Teneo. “If there is anyone with unparalleled voting skills, it is Berlusconi.”
The Italian president is largely a ceremonial role, even though he has the power to resolve political crises, choose a prime minister and hold elections early.Mattarella was forced to intervene many times to resolve the crisis, including Giuseppe Conte collapsed.
The timing of the election is delicate. Draghi is considered a safe pair of hands, but moving to the presidential palace will bring his government to an early end and undermine efforts to ensure the reforms needed to ensure EU installment payments. Post-Pandemic Recovery Fund, Of which Italy is the biggest beneficiary.
“This is the first time this election is economically relevant,” Piccoli said. “Due to the pandemic, the country lost 10% of its GDP, now with Draghi, with this new confidence… The question is whether this will last until after the presidential election.” In the worst case, Germany Raj’s promotion may advance the election by a year. If elections are held early, opinion polls unanimously show that the coalition of far-right parties, alliance and Italian brothersAnd Berlusconi’s Forza Italia may win.
Voting is expected to begin in the third week of January, but only three times have a new president appeared in the first round. Piccoli said: “Every other day there will be backdoor transactions, a lot of gestures, and random names.” “But historically, all the names mentioned before voting will be burned. If anyone mentioned so far is real I’ll be surprised by the deal, except for Draghi.”
Other names circulating in the media include the current Minister of Justice Marta Catabia, former Prime Minister Romano Prodi, another former prime minister and current EU Economic Commissioner Paul Gentiloni, and Berlusconi’s long-term adviser. Gianni Letta.
If Draghi stands up, he may wait until the second or third round. “Even for someone like Draghi, he can’t be elected in the first round, so he doesn’t want to let himself participate in this work prematurely, thereby damaging his status,” Piccoli said.
