SecondJust two weeks ago, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki warned them I Before launching the “third world war” against his country. The same Morawiecki is now talking every day about the fact that Poland is defending the entire European Union in the “hybrid war” in the Belarus-Polish border crisis, and warmly thanks the community for its solidarity with his country. This is mutually exclusive: The European Commission, which has just accused the Polish government of attacking the foundations of the European Union, now asserts at every opportunity that it stands firmly on the side of Warsaw in the dispute with Belarusian ruler Alexander Lukashenko.
The escalation of the border situation brought about by the Belarusian regime changed the tone between the Polish government and the EU from one extreme to another overnight. But on the issue of the rule of law in Poland, nothing has changed. The Warsaw government did not take action to restore judicial independence. Quite the contrary-she is clearly preparing to further eliminate unwelcome judges from the court. The Constitutional Court ruled in October that there is a substantial contradiction between the EU treaty and the Polish Constitution and will deal with issues that also apply to the European Convention on Human Rights at the end of November.
Lukashenko wants to put the EU in a hopeless situation
Therefore, the good words between Poland and the EU will not last long. Within a few days, this seemingly weird vacillation between attacks and expressions of solidarity showed that the Polish European Union was threatened by both internal and external threats. Because both are correct: Lukashenko’s extremely contemptuous drama on the border between Belarus and Poland is an attack on the entire European Union, in which Poland is entitled to the full support of society-and at the same time, the attack on Poland and the judicial independence of the government The operation of the European Union is so fundamentally threatened that it can in fact only withdraw financial support from Poland.
Saturday at 9 a.m.
This constellation makes the conflict on the border between Belarus and Poland more explosive than ever.The seemingly unresolvable dispute between the EU and the Polish government and Poland’s self-isolation in the EU are likely to be the cause Lukashenko Direct the main immigrant flow to the border with Poland instead of its smaller neighbors Lithuania and Latvia. Poland is most likely to deepen existing immigration policy differences among EU countries — or expose Europeans by provoking human disasters.
By acting on his own people, Lukashenko has shown that he does not care about the lives and health of the people. If in addition to the desire for revenge for the EU sanctions, he has any similar plan, then it is to get Europeans into a situation where they cannot but shame: open the border, and then they follow him-take the Kremlin as an example. An example (and to his satisfaction), he sees this as a call for further escalation. The suffering on the border will not stop, it will affect more people.
On the other hand, if the EU looks at a few meters away from its outer border under the gaze of the border guards of one of its member states, rows of people dying tragically from exhaustion, weight loss and cold, it will drag them to One’s own level, so to speak. It is no coincidence that Russian propaganda has touched on this topic after discussing this topic in the past few days.This is how the EU promises human rights Surprisingly discredited in Russia, Belarus and other places.
The fact that the Polish government follows Lukashenko’s logic and regards border protection primarily as a military category and refuses to take humanitarian measures makes the situation even more complicated. Every effort must be made to find a way to rescue as many immigrants as possible from the trap Lukashenko lured them into, instead of playing his game. If you listen carefully to the expressions of mutual solidarity in the past few days, the rift between Warsaw and Brussels on this issue is obvious. Apart from the dispute over the rule of law, it may break out publicly at any time. The EU’s double test in the East has just begun.
