Why this Christmas will become more expensive

There is a problem in the supply chain: there are no containers, the port is too slow, and the freighter stops on the road. Logistics staff are now planning to bring production home from Asia. Also let this year’s Christmas goods to maintain parity.

DThe pressure on the global supply chain is likely to continue beyond next summer. Although shipowners are taking countermeasures, the situation is still extremely tense due to the new crown epidemic, demand imbalances, port problems and container shortages. Martin Bäcker, a logistics analyst at Plastics Information Services (KI), warned the companies in his branch of “ocean madness.” Nearly 90% of world trade is conducted by sea.for Christmas Many people think it is black: “The hammer is still behind,” Becker warned, referring to the spot exchange rate for shipping. “After that, we will see high prices continue until 2022.” Christian Denso, spokesperson for the German Shipowners Association (VDR), described the situation with a number in an interview with FAZ: “Currently, 0, 8% The container transportation area is not.” In a normal year, about 10% will be idle. Only in front of the Port of Long Beach in the United States, there are 40 ships to unload at the berth.

Reach the previous level Corona Freight will no longer stabilize. At that time, the cost of a container from North Asia to Rotterdam or Hamburg was about US$1,700, roughly twice that of the railway. “Our current price is US$15,000 and railroad is US$21,000. Optimists estimate that next year’s price is US$10,000, and the new contract 40-foot container is more likely to be US$12,000 to US$14,000,” Baker said. Even the price of a 200-container feeder ship in the Baltic Sea has increased tenfold, reaching 30,000 euros per day.