Der Berliner Charity-Virology Christian Drosten It is doubtful whether Germany can achieve an acceptable vaccination quota during the coronavirus pandemic just by providing vaccination. The main reason is that there is a certain indifference in the population, Drossten said in NDR Info’s “Coronavirus Update” podcastTherefore, Germany “definitely” needs to restrict contact again in the fall. “It’s a bold idea to relax in the fall,” the scientist said in a podcast released on Friday.
Drosten is also not optimistic about the number of corona patients in the hospital. He believes that this development will make the intensive care unit and other wards and emergency rooms strained. For people over 60 years of age who have not been vaccinated, not being vaccinated this fall is a “huge risk.”
Only 61% of people are fully vaccinated
However, he did not think that Germany would use Quote Going further, Drossten said to the broadcaster. “That’s why I think politics is facing a difficult task. They must make a consistent decision as soon as possible.” In this case, Drosten was also asked about compulsory vaccination as an option.
So far, only 61% of the total population has been fully vaccinated. In August, the vaccination rate increased by only about 10%.According to the latest weekly report Robert Koch Institute (RKI) 83% of the population over 60 years old have comprehensive vaccination protection. For adults between 18 and 60 years of age, the rate is 65%. For children and adolescents between 12 and 17 years of age, this figure is 21%.
However, according to RKI calculations, at least 85% of people aged 12 to 59 and 90% of seniors aged 60 and over must be fully vaccinated, so it is unlikely that a fully equipped intensive care unit will appear in the fall and winter The apparent new wave.
“Unfortunately, it is impossible to reach this vaccination quota,” Drosten concluded. He himself had hoped to reach 80%. Drosten said that in theory, you can vaccinate yourself to protect yourself from the pandemic. Researchers believe that the entire society needs more than 90% of the vaccination quota-which is currently utopian.
The virologist said that people can try to convey the urgency of vaccination in Germany. “There is a basic openness. At the moment, I will only assume that few people have not been vaccinated. They believe it is a completely crazy story.” Sometimes, it is a certain kind of indifference that prevents the decision to support vaccination.
This is a huge difference between Portuguese and Spanish. “They have had a bad social experience. A large number of deaths and a real blockade. You can only have a legitimate reason to go shopping outside, and the army patrols the streets.” This is a real blockade. “We haven’t experienced this kind of situation in Germany. Looking back, I don’t think we can simulate this kind of experience in Germany.”
The clinic is under pressure
However, what makes him optimistic is the high willingness of children aged 12 to 17 to be vaccinated, Drosten said. “This will be viewed very positively. We have a group of young and smart people here.” Virologists are also optimistic when they go to school. It is very likely to continue school in the winter.
On the other hand, clinics will face considerable pressure. In normal wards, Covid 19 patients will compete with patients with other needs for treatment capabilities. For the intensive care unit, the vaccination rate of elderly people with serious diseases has not exceeded 90%, which is another problem. Drosten added that with the increase in the incidence, there will also be intensive cases among young people. Most Covid patients in the hospital are not vaccinated.
The experience from England with high incidence in the triangle wave also made Drosten think deeply. The virologist said that the number of hospitalizations and deaths there exceeded his expectations. “There is more risk of death.”
