DThe situation in the European Football Championship is coming: only four teams have a chance to win the Continental Championship, which was delayed by a year due to the pandemic. Italy and Spain are competing for a place in the final, as are England and Denmark. Who will win in the semifinals? Who will fight for the trophy at Wembley Stadium in London on Sunday? The EM prediction based on the calculation model of Daniel Memmert and Fabian Wunderlich shows who has the greatest chance.
If the winner’s prediction was originally that world champion France leads, then after the unexpected end of the 16-round penalty shoot-out against Switzerland, the situation has changed. Since then, England has been the number one favorite in the forecast. This has not changed before the semifinals, although for many experts, Italy is ahead. The probability of the England team winning the championship is 37.1%, and the probability of the Azzurri winning the championship is 29.9%. Spain also has 24%, and Denmark is a clear outsider with 9%.
Italy and Spain will be held this Tuesday (9pm FAZ European Football Championship live broadcast, On ARD and MagentaTV) At Wembley Stadium in London, the last three games of the championship will be played in the first semi-final. Italy slightly leads the forecast, at 55.7%. For Spaniards, after all the European championships in 2008 and 2012, 44.3% speak for themselves. This game is expected to show some tension in the fight for tickets to the finals.
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